How does that compare to other teams, though?
It feels like a lot, but it feels like context vs. other front runners would be helpful.
I like the SP+ "returning production" metric, and not just because it makes ND looks good. The methodology heavily weights returning OL snaps, which potentially makes sense. You can return a great RB or QB/WR, but it's going to be a problem if your OL sucks. Counter example, Williams isn't as good as Love, but he's also going to be helped out running behind a more experienced OL.
Also, I think the idea of "pre-test probability" is important which is brought up in that article. We return a lot of production and we were already good last year. I wouldn't be as hopeful if we were expecting to make a jump from middling to great.
Complete thread:
- ND's 2026 football PREDICTION season has begun -
Mark,
2026-07-26, 15:08
- Lee Becton and Randy Kinder would like a word -- - omahadomer, 2026-07-27, 17:44
- I think the calculus becomes relatively simple. -
ReginaldVelJohnson,
2026-07-27, 06:48
- 75% of our Long Explosives left at the end of 2025 -
Mike (bart),
2026-07-27, 08:11
- Greathouse produced a good number of explosives in 2024 -
KGB,
2026-07-27, 10:04
- That's a good point - Mike (bart), 2026-07-27, 10:36
- How does that compare to other teams, though? -
ReginaldVelJohnson,
2026-07-27, 09:31
- the weighting in that article is interesting -
Mike (bart),
2026-07-27, 10:38
- IMO, there's a bigger factor than replacing production... -
BillyGoat,
2026-07-27, 11:30
- That is maybe one thing to our advantage - Mike (bart), 2026-07-27, 11:42
- IMO, there's a bigger factor than replacing production... -
BillyGoat,
2026-07-27, 11:30
- the weighting in that article is interesting -
Mike (bart),
2026-07-27, 10:38
- Greathouse produced a good number of explosives in 2024 -
KGB,
2026-07-27, 10:04
- I like to think RB won't drop off as much -
beattherush,
2026-07-27, 07:39
- I guess my thought is that the dropoff at RB feels -
ReginaldVelJohnson,
2026-07-27, 09:42
- WAR's the right construct - beattherush, 2026-07-27, 10:09
- Yeah, we will be much better at staying on the field - Mike (bart), 2026-07-27, 07:42
- I guess my thought is that the dropoff at RB feels -
ReginaldVelJohnson,
2026-07-27, 09:42
- Oline s/b better, correct?
-
Grantland,
2026-07-27, 07:18
- 75% of our Long Explosives left at the end of 2025 -
Mike (bart),
2026-07-27, 08:11
- There is so much trash out there right now. -
KGB,
2026-07-26, 15:17
- That’s part of why I posted these 2 articles -
Mark,
2026-07-26, 15:38
- Enjoyed the read - Dallasdomer, 2026-07-26, 20:21
- That’s part of why I posted these 2 articles -
Mark,
2026-07-26, 15:38