the Blue-Gray Sky: Bowlin' for the BCS
Conf.
Team
BCS Rank
Record, Conf.
Games Remaining
BCS Status
Most Likely BCS Bowl
Best Case Scenario
How to make the Best Case
Big 10
Penn State
3
10-1, 7-1
Done
In, as Big 10 Champ
Orange
Rose Need a USC or Texas loss
Big 10
Ohio State
6
9-2, 7-1
Done
Needs some lobbying help
Fiesta
Fiesta
stick around as an at-large, hope BCS likes them better than Oregon
Big 12
South
Texas
2
10-0, 7-0
vs Texas A&M, Big 12 game (guaranteed)
Probably in; two losses would knock them out
Rose
Rose beat A&M and win Big 12 Champ game
Big 12
North
Colorado
NR
7-3, 5-2
vs Nebraska, possible Big 12 game
Wing and a Prayer
None
Fiesta
beat Texas in the Big 12 game
Big 12
North
Iowa State
NR
7-3, 4-3
vs Kansas, possible Big 12 game
a longer Wing and a graver Prayer
None Fiesta
beat Kansas; Colorado loses to Nebraska; beat Texas in Big 12 game
Big East
West Virginia
11
8-1, 5-0
vs Pitt, at USF
Controls own destiny
Sugar Sugar
beat Pitt & beat USF, and they win the Big East berth
Big East South Florida
NR
6-3, 4-1
at UConn, vs WVU
Also controls own destiny
None Sugar
must beat UConn and WVU, win Big East berth
Big East Pittsburgh
NR
5-5, 4-2
at WVU
Needs a lot of help
None Sugar
must beat WVU.  Needs UConn to beat USF, and USF to beat WVU.  Also need a Louisville loss in one of their last two.
ACC
Coastal
Miami
9
8-2, 5-2
vs UVA, possible ACC game
Would have been better without the loss to GT
None Orange
beat UVA, need a VaTech loss to UNC to get to the ACC game; win that, and they bowl
ACC
Coastal
Virginia Tech
5
9-1, 6-1
vs UNC, possible ACC game
Looking good
Orange Rose Yeah, Rose is possible.  LSU loses 2, Texas loses 2, SoCal loses 1...that would leave three teams at 10-1 (PSU, USC, VaTech).  I'll go with Orange.
ACC
Atlantic
Florida State
24
8-3, 5-3
vs Florida, ACC game
one game is all they need
None Orange
Even if they lose to Florida, they're still in the ACC game.  Win that, and they're bowling. 
SEC
West
LSU
4
9-1, 6-1
vs Arkansas, possible SEC game
in control in the SEC
Sugar
Rose win out; hope Texas loses two; hope BCS nudges them past PSU
SEC
West
Auburn
10
9-2, 7-1
Done
watching the ticker
None Sugar
Needs Arkansas to beat LSU, then win the SEC game
SEC
East
Georgia
15
8-2, 6-2
vs Georgia Tech, possible SEC game
tougher road than LSU
None Sugar
beat GT, win the SEC game. 
Pac 10
Southern Cal
1
11-0, 7-0
vs UCLA
In, as Pac-10 Champ (even with a loss to UCLA - see below)
Rose Rose They're in the BCS, even with a loss to the Bruins.  A win ices a Rose Bowl appearance. 
Pac 10
UCLA
12
9-1, 6-1
vs USC
Bubblin'
None Fiesta
Beat USC and they might get a BCS bid...perhaps Fiesta
Pac 10
Oregon
7
10-1, 7-1
Done
possible at-large
None Fiesta
Need to lobby to be picked ahead of Ohio State
Ind
Notre Dame
8
8-2
vs Stanford
probable at-large
Fiesta Fiesta
Beat Stanford and ND will be the darling pick of the Fiesta Bowl.